Wind AlliesTier 1
at NA Nationals 2025
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 26.2% | 27 | 14-11-2 | 55.6% | 54.8% | 60.9% | +4.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.4% | 12 | 7-5-0 | 58.3% | 56.2% | 58.6% | +3.7 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 8 | 4-3-1 | 56.2% | 54.2% | 61.8% | +5.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.2% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 32.2% | -13.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 34.9% | -11.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.4 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 72.8% | +21.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.9% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.3% | -3.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.7% | -6.1 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.4% | -5.4 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.8 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Fire Kongming | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Seiryuu | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +10.0 |
| Water Kongming | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.4% | +6.1 |
| Water Seiryuu | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.6% | -18.2 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.1% | -5.7 |
| Wind Byakko | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.6% | +23.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 28 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Yuan Shao, Crown General | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Automated Gardener | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |